This is a research prototype. The data and analyses are preliminary and not yet validated — we'd welcome your .
Data on this page is preliminary and may change. Please do not share or cite these figures publicly.
Ridgeline (joy plot) showing expert severity distributions across all 24 risk subdomains, comparing Business as Usual vs Pragmatic Mitigations scenarios with catastrophic risk percentages.
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Data sourced from the Delphi expert elicitation study. Severity and likelihood ratings reflect expert consensus under Business as Usual (BAU) and Pragmatic Mitigations (PM) scenarios. Actor and sector ratings use weighted means of 5-point Likert distributions. About this data & methodology →
Each ridge shows the probability distribution across five severity levels (negligible to catastrophic) as assessed by experts. Rows are sorted by BAU severity (highest on top). The right column shows the percentage of experts who assigned “catastrophic” severity under each scenario. Click any row for detailed IQR breakdown.
